John Van Reenen: "There will be an immediate slowdown of growth"
Larry Summers: "The effects on the rest of the world will depend heavily on psychology"我说只能糟糕
Paul Krugman: Yes, Brexit will make Britain poorer. It’s hard to put a number on the trade effects of leaving the EU, but it will be substantial. True, normal WTO tariffs (the tariffs members of the World Trade Organization, like Britain, the US, and the EU levy on each others’ exports) are low and other traditional restraints on trade relatively mild. But everything we’ve seen in both Europe and North America suggests that the assurance of market access has a big effect in encouraging long-term investments aimed at selling across borders; revoking that assurance will, over time, erode trade even if there isn’t any kind of trade war. And Britain will become less productive as a result
Scott Sumner: "The ultimate effect depends ENTIRELY on how the central banks react"，胡诌
Capital Economics: "Brexit is not a disaster for the world economy"，也许，疼痛是难免了吧？
To make these post-Brexit growth arguments sound even remotely plausible, the free-market Brexiteers had to paint an overly gloomy view of the U.K. Because without the possibility of a tremendous upside, Brexit would never have been worth the risk of severe instability.
